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You are here: Home / Bitcoin Industry News / Bitcoin Data Indicates Ripe Buying Period as BTC Nears $95K

January 10, 2025

Bitcoin Data Indicates Ripe Buying Period as BTC Nears $95K

Economic data and general profit-taking may have dented an early bitcoin (BTC) rally, but data tracking investor behavior indicates buying current price levels could benefit those looking for an entry into BTC markets.

Onchain data shows bitcoin’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has crept up to 0.987 as of Friday, suggesting that investors who have held bitcoin for less than six months are selling at a loss. Historically, this scenario has often preceded price recoveries, indicating a potential buying opportunity.

Other well-followed cycle indicators, such as Market Value to Realized Value and the Puell Multiple, and a short-term investor ratio of 60% point to the market not having reached its peak, and this week’s correction does not appear to signify the end of the bullish cycle, per CryptoQuant contributing analyst Mac_D.

“As short-term investors experience more pain, it often presents better opportunities for accumulation,” MAC_D said in a Thursday post. “If there is further decline from the current price, smart investors will likely accumulate the coins sold cheaply by short-term investors. Therefore, selling coins at this juncture might prove to be a very unwise decision.”

SOPR measures the profit or loss of spent bitcoin outputs by comparing the value of coins when they were last moved to their value when they are spent again. The short-term SOPR focuses on coins moved within a relatively short timeframe (less than 155 days), and can indicate market sentiment, where a value less than 1 might suggest capitulation or a market bottom, potentially signaling a good time to buy.

MVRV compares Bitcoin’s total market cap (market value) to the “realized cap,” which values each Bitcoin at the price at which it last moved. It is used to gauge whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold, helping to predict potential market tops or bottoms.

BTC neared $95,000 in European morning hours Friday after a slump in U.S. hours sent it to near $90,000 late Thursday, down 10% from a weekly high above $120,000.

Fresh economic data sent U.S. treasury yields soaring on Thursday, leading to a fall in equities and a concurrent drop in risk assets such as bitcoin. The latest Institute for Supply Management (ISM) report on U.S. service providers was stronger than anticipated, with the prices-paid measure reaching its highest point since early 2023.

Traders are eying the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) later Friday before further positioning, as CoinDesk reported. Strong NFP numbers indicate a robust economy, hinting at possible interest rate hikes, which tends to be bad for risk assets such as bitcoin.

Author: Shaurya Malwa

Filed Under: Bitcoin Industry News

Expert Witness

Ty Sagalow head shotTy Sagalow's unique background in legal, underwriting, policy drafting and claims – and his designation as a “qualified insurance expert” by the United States District Court for the Southern District of California – offers attorneys an unparalleled resource in D&O, E&O and Cyber insurance coverage disputes. He was also named "Most Helpful Expert" in a recent $8.7M coverage decision.

Mr. Sagalow served as Chief Underwriting Officer and General Counsel for AIG Executive Liability (formerly National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, PA), the world’s largest carrier of Directors and Officers Liability and Professional Liability Insurance. As General Counsel, Mr. Sagalow personally wrote or led teams that wrote all the D&O policies and many of the professional liability policies that AIG produced between 1988 and 2000 – policies which continue to serve as the foundational wording for the D&O and professional liability policies in the market today. As AIG Executive Liability’s Chief Underwriting Officer, Mr. Sagalow was charged with all underwriting interpretations and decisions for AIG D&O/E&O policies. In 2009, Mr. Sagalow headed up the team that rewrote all D&O policies for Zurich North America.

Ty is a cum laude graduate of Georgetown University Law Center and holds a LLM from New York University School of Law.

Bitcoin Insurance

Combining his talents as a network security insurance expert and an insurance product development expert, Ty Sagalow is the leading expert on the unique risk and insurance needs of the bitcoin industry.

With the successful sale of BitSecure(tm), the first bitcoin theft insurance policy in February of 2015, he is the first to create a sustainable, robust insurance policy to cover the theft of bitcoins and other virtual currency backed by an A-Rated, global “top 10” Property and Casualty insurance company.

Company Profile

Innovation Insurance Group is an insurance consulting firm and insurance brokerage founded by 30-year insurance executive, Ty R. Sagalow, former Chief Underwriting Officer, General Counsel and Chief Innovation Officer at AIG, and former Chief Innovation Officer at Zurich, NA and Tower Group. IIG focuses on three core practice groups: product development, expert witness services (primarily in the Management and Professional Liability areas), and bitcoin industry brokerage services.

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