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You are here: Home / Bitcoin Industry News / Ether Volatility Explodes to Over 100% as Price Crashes

February 3, 2025

Ether Volatility Explodes to Over 100% as Price Crashes

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, witnessed a significant spike in volatility early Monday as the renewed trade war between the U.S. and its trading partners triggered broad-based risk aversion in financial markets.

The price of ether tanked as much as 24%, with considerable dislocations across centralized exchanges. On Deribit, the price hit a low of $2,065, compared with $2,127 on Kraken and $2,150 on Coinbase (COIN), the lowest the Aug. 5 crash, according to TradingView and CoinDesk data.

According to CryptoQuant, the slide was the biggest since May 19, 2021. The token of the Ethereum blockchain fell for a third straight day, losing 23% over the period, the most since November 2022. BTC, meanwhile, fell just over 5% to $91,200.

Ether’s one-day at-the-money volatility jumped from an annualized 34% to 184% as the price dropped, according to Deribit’s options data tracked by Presto Research.

Deribit’s ether DVOL index, which measures the expected price turbulence over the coming four weeks, also surged, climbing to 101% from roughly 67%, TradingView data show.

The jump came as traders rushed to purchase ETH put options, which offer downside protection, according to Presto Research.

“The move, which saw ETH perp prices on Deribit plunge from $3,285 to $2,065, has triggered a significant shift in market positioning, as evidenced by the put-call ratio surging from last week’s relatively calm 0.6 to above 2.5 today – indicating a rush for downside protection among market participants,” Min Jung, an analyst at Presto Research told CoinDesk.

At one point, risk reversals, which measure implied volatility premium (demand) for calls relative to puts, flashed negative values over 10%, an unusually strong bias for puts.

Market makers added to volatility

That partly stemmed from market makers pulling out liquidity, a common feature during volatile trading conditions, according to Griffin Ardern, head of options trading and research at crypto financial platform BloFin.

“Some market makers chose to withdraw liquidity under high volatility, and their risk-averse behavior affects options pricing,” Ardern told CoinDesk.

According to Markus Thielen, head of 10x Research, delta hedging by market makers added to the downside volatility in ETH.

“As market makers and exchanges scrambled to offload futures, they sold at any available bid, accelerating the sell-off,” Thielen said in a Monday report to clients.

Market makers are tasked with creating order book liquidity, and make money from the bid-ask spread. They are price agnostic and strive to maintain a net market (delta) neutral exposure through constantly buying/selling futures. They typically sell into weakness or buy into strength, adding to the momentum, when holding a short gamma exposure.

Trade war fears weigh

The pace of the ether price sell-off has led to speculation that a large fund/trader ETH-margined positioned in derivatives or DeFi was liquidated, leading to an exaggerated price slide.

Broadly speaking, however, the slide in ETH and the broader market looks to have been spurred by the renewed trade war between the U.S. and Canada, Mexico and China. The concern is that it would inject inflation into the global economy, making it harder for central banks, including the Fed, to continue lowering interest rates to support economic growth.

Traditional markets suffered on the back of these concerns as well. Dow futures dropped more than 650 points early today, with European stock futures following suit alongside an uptick in the dollar.

Author: Omkar Godbole

Filed Under: Bitcoin Industry News

Expert Witness

Ty Sagalow head shotTy Sagalow's unique background in legal, underwriting, policy drafting and claims – and his designation as a “qualified insurance expert” by the United States District Court for the Southern District of California – offers attorneys an unparalleled resource in D&O, E&O and Cyber insurance coverage disputes. He was also named "Most Helpful Expert" in a recent $8.7M coverage decision.

Mr. Sagalow served as Chief Underwriting Officer and General Counsel for AIG Executive Liability (formerly National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, PA), the world’s largest carrier of Directors and Officers Liability and Professional Liability Insurance. As General Counsel, Mr. Sagalow personally wrote or led teams that wrote all the D&O policies and many of the professional liability policies that AIG produced between 1988 and 2000 – policies which continue to serve as the foundational wording for the D&O and professional liability policies in the market today. As AIG Executive Liability’s Chief Underwriting Officer, Mr. Sagalow was charged with all underwriting interpretations and decisions for AIG D&O/E&O policies. In 2009, Mr. Sagalow headed up the team that rewrote all D&O policies for Zurich North America.

Ty is a cum laude graduate of Georgetown University Law Center and holds a LLM from New York University School of Law.

Bitcoin Insurance

Combining his talents as a network security insurance expert and an insurance product development expert, Ty Sagalow is the leading expert on the unique risk and insurance needs of the bitcoin industry.

With the successful sale of BitSecure(tm), the first bitcoin theft insurance policy in February of 2015, he is the first to create a sustainable, robust insurance policy to cover the theft of bitcoins and other virtual currency backed by an A-Rated, global “top 10” Property and Casualty insurance company.

Company Profile

Innovation Insurance Group is an insurance consulting firm and insurance brokerage founded by 30-year insurance executive, Ty R. Sagalow, former Chief Underwriting Officer, General Counsel and Chief Innovation Officer at AIG, and former Chief Innovation Officer at Zurich, NA and Tower Group. IIG focuses on three core practice groups: product development, expert witness services (primarily in the Management and Professional Liability areas), and bitcoin industry brokerage services.

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