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You are here: Home / Bitcoin Industry News / Robinhood’s Strong Q2 Fails to Sway Cautious Wall Street Analysts

July 31, 2025

Robinhood’s Strong Q2 Fails to Sway Cautious Wall Street Analysts

Robinhood’s (HOOD) strong second-quarter earnings Wednesday evening have prompted Wall Street to raise its expectations for the stock, but the modest boosts suggest the group believes much upside has been priced in.

Shares are trading slightly higher Thursday morning at $106.50.

Citi, which lifted its price target to $120 from $100, continued with a neutral rating on the stock. Even after revising his earnings estimate sharply higher, analyst Christopher Allen warns that much of Robinhood’s future growth is already priced into the stock, which has nearly tripled from its mid-April low and is higher by a whopping 420% year-over-year.

Also rating HOOD neutral, JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington boosted his December 2026 price target to $104 from $98, citing a “nearly perfect operating environment with meaningful volatility, robust retail engagement, and historically elevated rates as both its trading and rate-sensitive segments performed well.” The firm’s acquisition of crypto exchange Bitstamp helped Robinhood post $160 million in crypto revenue — about 16% of its total — fueled by $6.7 billion in notional trading volume from Bitstamp.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — also neutral — raised its target to $106 from $89, emphasizing gains in securities lending and a rebound in crypto trading, particularly from Bitstamp. The firm also revised its EPS estimates upward for the next three years, citing increasing user engagement and improved margins.

Cantor Fitzgerald’s Brett Knoblauch — alone among this group with a buy rating on HOOD — raised his price target from $100 to $118, suggesting a modest 10% upside from current levels. His team is now valuing Robinhood at 40x 2026 EV/EBITDA and Knoblauch believes the company has room for even more growth in crypto, options, and margin interest revenue. He pointed to strong momentum across new products such as Robinhood Strategies, crypto staking, and the soon-to-launch Robinhood Banking service.

What does this mean for Coinbase’s earnings later today?

Robinhood’s crypto revenue was bolstered by the addition of Bitstamp’s institutional flow, but it also benefited from retail traders returning to the market. If Coinbase reports similar activity — especially from retail — it could signal a broader resurgence in crypto engagement. Coinbase’s business is more heavily reliant on crypto and institutional activity, so Robinhood’s strong results may foreshadow a beat if those same trends played out on Coinbase’s platform.

However, Coinbase lacks Robinhood’s diversification into interest income and securities lending, which insulated Robinhood from volatility in crypto markets last year. That puts more pressure on Coinbase to show that crypto trading volumes alone can drive earnings growth. Investors will be watching closely.

FactSet projects COIN will report $1.59 billion in revenue and $1.25 in earnings per share for the second quarter, both up from the same period last year. Shares are up 1.6% today, trading at $383.56 a piece.

Author: Helene Braun

Filed Under: Bitcoin Industry News

Expert Witness

Ty Sagalow head shotTy Sagalow's unique background in legal, underwriting, policy drafting and claims – and his designation as a “qualified insurance expert” by the United States District Court for the Southern District of California – offers attorneys an unparalleled resource in D&O, E&O and Cyber insurance coverage disputes. He was also named "Most Helpful Expert" in a recent $8.7M coverage decision.

Mr. Sagalow served as Chief Underwriting Officer and General Counsel for AIG Executive Liability (formerly National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, PA), the world’s largest carrier of Directors and Officers Liability and Professional Liability Insurance. As General Counsel, Mr. Sagalow personally wrote or led teams that wrote all the D&O policies and many of the professional liability policies that AIG produced between 1988 and 2000 – policies which continue to serve as the foundational wording for the D&O and professional liability policies in the market today. As AIG Executive Liability’s Chief Underwriting Officer, Mr. Sagalow was charged with all underwriting interpretations and decisions for AIG D&O/E&O policies. In 2009, Mr. Sagalow headed up the team that rewrote all D&O policies for Zurich North America.

Ty is a cum laude graduate of Georgetown University Law Center and holds a LLM from New York University School of Law.

Bitcoin Insurance

Combining his talents as a network security insurance expert and an insurance product development expert, Ty Sagalow is the leading expert on the unique risk and insurance needs of the bitcoin industry.

With the successful sale of BitSecure(tm), the first bitcoin theft insurance policy in February of 2015, he is the first to create a sustainable, robust insurance policy to cover the theft of bitcoins and other virtual currency backed by an A-Rated, global “top 10” Property and Casualty insurance company.

Company Profile

Innovation Insurance Group is an insurance consulting firm and insurance brokerage founded by 30-year insurance executive, Ty R. Sagalow, former Chief Underwriting Officer, General Counsel and Chief Innovation Officer at AIG, and former Chief Innovation Officer at Zurich, NA and Tower Group. IIG focuses on three core practice groups: product development, expert witness services (primarily in the Management and Professional Liability areas), and bitcoin industry brokerage services.

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