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You are here: Home / Bitcoin Industry News / Watch Out Below: Bitcoin’s Weekend Surge Leaves CME Gap

August 11, 2025

Watch Out Below: Bitcoin’s Weekend Surge Leaves CME Gap

Bitcoin (BTC) may find itself fighting gravity after a surge over the weekend took it to within striking distance of its $123,000 all-time high while leaving a gap in the price of CME futures between Friday’s closing price and Monday’s open.

CME bitcoin futures, cash-settled contracts that track the price of the largest cryptocurrency, settled at $117,430 on Friday, only to open on Monday at $119,000. Historically, bitcoin has shown a tendency to fill these gaps, meaning the price often retraces to cover the difference between the two levels. This can happen within days or even within hours of the gap forming.

“Most previous gaps that were created did close within the same day, but this one moved a bit further than those,” Daan Crypto Trades, a crypto trader and investor, said in a post on X.

Unlike spot markets, which trade around the clock, CME futures operate from Sunday evening through Friday evening for 23 hours a day. Any significant price movement during the one-hour daily pause or over the weekend can create what traders call a CME gap.

Daan noted that bitcoin is now close to price discovery, a market phase that begins when an asset surpasses its previous all-time high and trades in uncharted territory. In such situations, gaps can become “runaway gaps” instances where momentum is so strong that the market continues to trend in the same direction without returning to fill the gap, at least in the short term.

“I’d recommend keeping an eye on this gap,” Daan said. “If price were to close it, it could make for a decent reversal area. But I wouldn’t fully bet on it closing until price gets at least within a one to two percent proximity again, below $120,000 or so.”

Heading into Monday’s U.S. open, traders will be watching closely to see whether the gap begins to close or whether bitcoin’s bullish momentum carries it straight past $123,000 into new all-time highs, potentially leaving the gap behind at least for now.

Author: James Van Straten

Filed Under: Bitcoin Industry News

Expert Witness

Ty Sagalow head shotTy Sagalow's unique background in legal, underwriting, policy drafting and claims – and his designation as a “qualified insurance expert” by the United States District Court for the Southern District of California – offers attorneys an unparalleled resource in D&O, E&O and Cyber insurance coverage disputes. He was also named "Most Helpful Expert" in a recent $8.7M coverage decision.

Mr. Sagalow served as Chief Underwriting Officer and General Counsel for AIG Executive Liability (formerly National Union Fire Insurance Company of Pittsburgh, PA), the world’s largest carrier of Directors and Officers Liability and Professional Liability Insurance. As General Counsel, Mr. Sagalow personally wrote or led teams that wrote all the D&O policies and many of the professional liability policies that AIG produced between 1988 and 2000 – policies which continue to serve as the foundational wording for the D&O and professional liability policies in the market today. As AIG Executive Liability’s Chief Underwriting Officer, Mr. Sagalow was charged with all underwriting interpretations and decisions for AIG D&O/E&O policies. In 2009, Mr. Sagalow headed up the team that rewrote all D&O policies for Zurich North America.

Ty is a cum laude graduate of Georgetown University Law Center and holds a LLM from New York University School of Law.

Bitcoin Insurance

Combining his talents as a network security insurance expert and an insurance product development expert, Ty Sagalow is the leading expert on the unique risk and insurance needs of the bitcoin industry.

With the successful sale of BitSecure(tm), the first bitcoin theft insurance policy in February of 2015, he is the first to create a sustainable, robust insurance policy to cover the theft of bitcoins and other virtual currency backed by an A-Rated, global “top 10” Property and Casualty insurance company.

Company Profile

Innovation Insurance Group is an insurance consulting firm and insurance brokerage founded by 30-year insurance executive, Ty R. Sagalow, former Chief Underwriting Officer, General Counsel and Chief Innovation Officer at AIG, and former Chief Innovation Officer at Zurich, NA and Tower Group. IIG focuses on three core practice groups: product development, expert witness services (primarily in the Management and Professional Liability areas), and bitcoin industry brokerage services.

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